I'm with mat on this, you know why? Well let's look at the evidence:
Ehm:
Graft's loga is similar to Mat's.
Same birthday.
Let's start with the birthday, ok let's use some math first:
there's ca 7.5 billion people, wi take that and divide by the number of days in (an ordinary) year.
which equals about 20 million (I rounded down because i rounded up in the previous number)
What is the probabilities of finding two people with the smae birthday? Well it is simply 1/365 * 1/365 =(ca) 0.005 Or 0.5 %.
So we now know the prob. of finding two people with the same birthday and also roughly how many people having their birthday at any given day (excluding leap-day)
Now you notice that 0.5% is not that small of a chance when you look at how many people there are with the same birthday.
In short, it is not that unlikely that two tb-players have the same birthday.
Now for the logo thing, this is harder demonstrate because of all assumptions i will have to make, so this is kind of a weak argument, but here it goes:
The video mat used has about 1 million views, and for the sake of argument let's say it only had 500 000 views when he saw it. Now suppose that half of the people who saw the video at that time made a logo fo themeselves and used is as a profile pic. This number would then be 250 000 people. Now i think it's fair to say that this is not the only video out there explainging this logo, or just showing it off. So if we factor that in then we might get a number that is closer to 400 000, and if we again factor in "spread", that is people seeing the logo and either copying it, or making their own withought watching the video, and we set the spread to a low factor 2 we end up with 800 000 people with this logo.
Now remember that these are people who know a bit about the internet (why else would they require a logo for forums/know about PS/other graphic softwares.)
It might be improbable that you would find two people with the same logo on the same page if it is this obscure, but i have an argument to strengthen my point:
Mat uses this logo, and many people like it, so they have probably copied it from him, or he has copied it from another user on the TB forums(?) so this logo might not be so unusual in the TB community.
Overall i do not think that the evidence you have put forth is enough.
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However, Graft is most likely an Alt.
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Another point i would like to make is that of mat's IQ, now i am not attacking you here mat but let me say this:
Mat has to be either the stupidest man to ever live, or the greatest mind of all time if he is infact Graft.
Now i exagerated i bit there so let me clarify:
If graft was mat's alt, why would mat have the same birthday and similar logo? He has to either be too dumb to realize that people will point this out, or so smart as to do it on purpouse, because he knows people would make this point.
I don't believe mat to be a retarded mantis-schrimp, nor do i believe him to be a super genious, although i recognize and admire his skill as a debater and speedcuber i do not believe him to be this manipulative.
Conclusion: I think mat is smart and very capable of critical thinking, as proven by his pessimism, however i do not believe him to be a cold, calculating, manipulative machine that would attempt this ruse of using the the same birthday and similar logo as a reverse-logic parachute.
Last edited by uppkicker; Mar 7, 2016 at 04:21 PM.
Reason: <24 hour edit/bump